>> Typical digital cameras have a resolution of about 8 megapixels these
>> days. Just a few years ago, one, or three-megapixel resolution was
[quoted text clipped - 10 lines]
> The rate of increase seems to be around 1 Mp per year, so assuming that rate
> of increase is consant your "soon" looks a bit more like100 years.
But if the pixel count goes up by a factor 5 every 7 years by 2014 we
would have cameras with 50 MP and by 2021 cameras with 250 MP.
After all if cameras really were going up by 1 MP every year then in
1998 the cameras would have had 0 pixels, assuming that they were at 2
MP in the year 2000.
Scott
>> Typical digital cameras have a resolution of about 8 megapixels these
>> days. Just a few years ago, one, or three-megapixel resolution was
[quoted text clipped - 12 lines]
>
> Roy G
At the moment, unless someone comes out with quantum based sensors, the
only way to make the sensors work well with more pixels is to make
larger sensors, which means different lens systems, and, probably,
larger cameras. Does anyone but a professional NEED a 30mp camera? I
do pretty well with 4-7mp.
Scott W - 24 Sep 2007 12:00 GMT
>>> Typical digital cameras have a resolution of about 8 megapixels these
>>> days. Just a few years ago, one, or three-megapixel resolution was
[quoted text clipped - 19 lines]
> larger cameras. Does anyone but a professional NEED a 30mp camera? I
> do pretty well with 4-7mp.
The 1Ds Mark III is already at 21MP, 30MP is just a bit more.
It seems not that long ago that many people where saying that there was
no need for more then 5MP, in someways they might even have been right
but still we see the march go on and 10MP is getting to be pretty
average not.
The fact that people use 1.4X and 2x teleconverter on cameras like the
40D tells us that there is a fair bit more resolution to be had in at
least some lenses.
Scott
>> Typical digital cameras have a resolution of about 8 megapixels these
>> days. Just a few years ago, one, or three-megapixel resolution was
[quoted text clipped - 3 lines]
>> you can imagine that soon cameras will be more sensitive than the
>> human eye. - from the Technology section of www.odd-info.com
> Your logic and your arithmetic need a little improvement.
> Around 2000 digicams had 2 Megapixels. Now in 2007 a lot have 10 Mp.
> The rate of increase seems to be around 1 Mp per year, so assuming that rate
> of increase is consant your "soon" looks a bit more like100 years.
The rate of increase is extremely likely to be exponential, not
linear. See "Moore's Law", which although derived specifically for
computer processors and memory, will apply to any technology deriving
from silicon real-estate transistor density, such as digital camera
sensors and associated memory and processing.

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Chris Malcolm cam@infirmatics.ed.ac.uk DoD #205
IPAB, Informatics, JCMB, King's Buildings, Edinburgh, EH9 3JZ, UK
[http://www.dai.ed.ac.uk/homes/cam/]
Jonathan - 28 Sep 2007 13:14 GMT
>>> Typical digital cameras have a resolution of about 8 megapixels
>>> these days. Just a few years ago, one, or three-megapixel
[quoted text clipped - 18 lines]
> from silicon real-estate transistor density, such as digital camera
> sensors and associated memory and processing.
There is far more to consider than MP. If your digicam has the same old
cheap lens there will be little gain beyond a certain point. I have plenty
of cheap 5-10MP still cameras that have far less image quality than others
with half they MP and better glass. Image stabilization is also a factor
along with file format and post processing in determining the final output
of a good video or photo.
A fast car won't smooth out a bump in the road.
Chris Malcolm - 28 Sep 2007 19:44 GMT
>>>> Typical digital cameras have a resolution of about 8 megapixels
>>>> these days. Just a few years ago, one, or three-megapixel
[quoted text clipped - 18 lines]
>> from silicon real-estate transistor density, such as digital camera
>> sensors and associated memory and processing.
> There is far more to consider than MP. If your digicam has the same old
> cheap lens there will be little gain beyond a certain point. I have plenty
> of cheap 5-10MP still cameras that have far less image quality than others
> with half they MP and better glass. Image stabilization is also a factor
> along with file format and post processing in determining the final output
> of a good video or photo.
But all of those things you mention are technological problems which
have already been solved, so they're not going to slow down the rate
at which these new cameras arrive on the market.

Signature
Chris Malcolm cam@infirmatics.ed.ac.uk DoD #205
IPAB, Informatics, JCMB, King's Buildings, Edinburgh, EH9 3JZ, UK
[http://www.dai.ed.ac.uk/homes/cam/]
Don Stauffer in Minnesota - 29 Sep 2007 14:59 GMT
> >> Typical digital cameras have a resolution of about 8 megapixels these
> >> days. Just a few years ago, one, or three-megapixel resolution was
[quoted text clipped - 18 lines]
> IPAB, Informatics, JCMB, King's Buildings, Edinburgh, EH9 3JZ, UK
> [http://www.dai.ed.ac.uk/homes/cam/]
But Moore's law involved methods of photolithography, where the
wavelength used was not really a factor as far as results. UV or even
ebeam was fine as long as the photoresist was happy.
Unless we want UV or X-ray cameras, the wavelength of the light we are
using DOES make a difference. Imaging chips for VISIBLE wavelength do
run into some restrictions that Moore's law does not worry about.